5/08/2023

Outlook for household spending slumped in April, New York Fed survey shows


 May 8, 2023

  • The Survey of Consumer Expectations for April showed that the outlook for spending fell by half a percentage point to an annual rate of 5.2%, the lowest since September 2021.
  • Respondents expect an inflation rate of about 4.4% in the next 12 months, down half a percentage point from March.
  • Household spending is expected to decrease significantly over the next year, according to a New York Federal Reserve survey released Monday that reflects downbeat consumer sentiment as well as a potential slowdown for inflation.

    The central bank Survey of Consumer Expectations for April showed that the outlook for spending fell by half a percentage point to an annual rate of 5.2%, the lowest level since September 2021.

    That came with a corresponding decline of 0.3 percentage point in the overall outlook for inflation over the next year. Respondents expect an inflation rate of about 4.4% in the next 12 months, still well above the three-year outlook for 2.9% and the five-year view of 2.6%.

    All of those levels are still above the Fed’s 2% inflation target, though they are drifting closer to the goal.

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